STLD Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-21

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
STLD Report EPS - Diluted Operating (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$3.70 vs. cons $3.64 MEDIUM
STLD Report Steel EBITDA (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$920M vs. cons $896M MEDIUM
STLD Report Aluminum EBITDA (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$35M vs. cons $7M MEDIUM
STLD Guide EPS (Q3 2026) UNKNOWN guide ~$3.80-4.00 vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
STLD Guide FY2026 EPS UNCHANGED guide ~$16.50-17.00 vs. cons $16.48 MEDIUM
STLD Guide Aluminum through-cycle EBITDA target (qualitative) BETTER guide ~$700-750M vs. prior $650-700M MEDIUM
STLD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
STLD Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE - beat holds but near-term estimate cuts on Q3 guide offset aluminum upside; no compounding MEDIUM