| STLD |
Report |
Operating diluted EPS |
MISS |
pred ~$3.54 vs. cons $3.64 |
MEDIUM |
| STLD |
Report |
Steel shipments |
IN-LINE |
pred ~3.820M tons vs. cons 3.811M tons |
MEDIUM |
| STLD |
Report |
Aluminum shipments |
MISS |
pred ~66.0K tons vs. cons 67.1K tons |
LOW |
| STLD |
Guide |
Aluminum shipments (3Q26) |
UNCHANGED |
guide ~105K tons vs. cons 105.8K tons |
LOW |
| STLD |
Guide |
Steel profitability / metal spreads (3Q26) |
UNKNOWN |
qualitative higher sequentially; no verified numerical guide/consensus mapping |
LOW |
| STLD |
Guide |
CapEx (FY26) |
UNKNOWN |
reiterate ~$600M; no verified consensus |
LOW |
| STLD |
Return |
Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) |
-1.0% |
— |
LOW |
| STLD |
Return |
5-day cumulative residual |
-2.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) |
FOLLOW-THROUGH — estimate risk persists |
LOW |