SYF Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-21

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
SYF Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.36 vs. cons $2.30 MEDIUM
SYF Report Ending loan receivables BEAT pred ~$101.7B vs. cons $100.5B MEDIUM
SYF Report Net charge-off rate BEAT pred ~5.34% vs. cons 5.47% MEDIUM
SYF Guide FY26 diluted EPS outlook UNCHANGED guide ~$9.30 midpoint vs. cons $9.32 (FY26) MEDIUM
SYF Guide Year-end receivables growth outlook BETTER guide ~5.5% vs. cons 4.8% (FY26 year-end) MEDIUM
SYF Guide FY26 net charge-off-rate outlook UNCHANGED guide ~5.45% vs. cons 5.43% (FY26) MEDIUM
SYF Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.8% MEDIUM
SYF Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.2% (FADE) Day 1 residual ~2.8% vs. 0.0% baseline; 5-day residual ~1.2% vs. 0.0% baseline. A credit-and-growth beat should initially reward the stock, but unchanged FY26 EPS guidance near the consensus midpoint leaves limited out-period estimate upside; retailer-share, loyalty, and technology costs should constrain revisions after the initial reaction. MEDIUM