T Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
T Report Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$0.60 vs. cons $0.59 MEDIUM
T Report Total Revenue (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$32.1B vs. cons $32.04B MEDIUM
T Report Postpaid Phone Net Adds (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~275K vs. cons 308.5K LOW
T Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$2.30 vs. cons $2.31 (FY2026) HIGH
T Guide FY2026 Free Cash Flow guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$18.0B vs. cons $18.2B (FY2026) HIGH
T Guide FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA growth guidance UNCHANGED guide ~3.5% vs. cons 3.6% (FY2026) MEDIUM
T Guide Q3 2026 wireless service revenue growth commentary BETTER guide ~3.0% vs. cons 2.8% (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
T Guide Net debt/EBITDA leverage post-EchoStar close UNKNOWN guide ~3.2x vs. cons 3.1x (year-end FY2026) LOW
T Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.8% MEDIUM
T Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.3% (FADE) A likely EPS beat (Zacks ESP +4.83%) plus reiterated FY26 EPS/FCF/EBITDA guidance and constructive Starlink commentary should trigger a short-covering relief pop off deeply oversold, heavily bearish positioning (stock -24% since March, Wells Fargo $18 UW target). But because full-year guidance is only reiterated (not raised) and postpaid net-add/churn optics likely soften post-April price hike, out-period consensus EPS/EBITDA revisions won't move materially higher — capping the move. The structural Starlink/Charter competitive overhang remains unresolved (no deal update expected), so bears keep their thesis intact and initial gains partially fade over the following days as algo/quant flow and analyst notes normalize. LOW