{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026)",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$0.60 vs. cons $0.59",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Total Revenue (Q2 2026)",
      "prediction": "IN-LINE",
      "answer": "pred ~$32.1B vs. cons $32.04B",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Postpaid Phone Net Adds (Q2 2026)",
      "prediction": "MISS",
      "answer": "pred ~275K vs. cons 308.5K",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 Adjusted EPS guidance",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~$2.30 vs. cons $2.31 (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 Free Cash Flow guidance",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~$18.0B vs. cons $18.2B (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA growth guidance",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~3.5% vs. cons 3.6% (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Q3 2026 wireless service revenue growth commentary",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide ~3.0% vs. cons 2.8% (Q3 2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Net debt/EBITDA leverage post-EchoStar close",
      "prediction": "UNKNOWN",
      "answer": "guide ~3.2x vs. cons 3.1x (year-end FY2026)",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": 2.8,
  "day1_confidence": "MEDIUM",
  "day5_residual_pct": 1.3,
  "day5_path": "FADE",
  "day5_rationale": "A likely EPS beat (Zacks ESP +4.83%) plus reiterated FY26 EPS/FCF/EBITDA guidance and constructive Starlink commentary should trigger a short-covering relief pop off deeply oversold, heavily bearish positioning (stock -24% since March, Wells Fargo $18 UW target). But because full-year guidance is only reiterated (not raised) and postpaid net-add/churn optics likely soften post-April price hike, out-period consensus EPS/EBITDA revisions won't move materially higher \u2014 capping the move. The structural Starlink/Charter competitive overhang remains unresolved (no deal update expected), so bears keep their thesis intact and initial gains partially fade over the following days as algo/quant flow and analyst notes normalize.",
  "day5_confidence": "LOW"
}