TMO Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TMO Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$5.85 vs. cons $5.71 MEDIUM
TMO Report Revenue IN-LINE pred ~$11.75B vs. cons $11.68B MEDIUM
TMO Report Organic revenue growth IN-LINE pred ~3% vs. cons ~3% MEDIUM
TMO Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS guide BETTER guide ~$24.75-25.20 midpoint vs. cons $24.90 (FY2026) MEDIUM
TMO Guide FY2026 organic revenue growth guide UNCHANGED guide ~3-4% vs. cons ~3-4% (FY2026) MEDIUM
TMO Guide FY2026 revenue guide UNCHANGED guide ~$47.3-48.1B vs. cons ~$47.7B (FY2026) MEDIUM
TMO Guide H2/Q4 organic acceleration commentary (bioproduction + PPD) UNKNOWN pred exit-rate ~mid-single-digit vs. cons ~4-5% (H2 2026) LOW
TMO Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
TMO Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.0% (STABILIZE) A modest EPS beat with the FY organic range reaffirmed and Q2 hitting the ~3% guide should deliver a relief pop given TMO's beaten-down YTD setup and the fact it held flat while Danaher fell ~11% two days prior. But the out-period math still embeds an unproven Q4 acceleration, so the market will not chase it — implicit H2 skepticism caps follow-through. Estimates hold roughly flat (small flow-through raise offset by cautious H2 modeling), so the day-1 gain largely stabilizes rather than extends or fully fades. LOW