TMUS Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TMUS Report Postpaid net account additions BEAT pred ~285K vs. cons 262K MEDIUM
TMUS Report Core Adjusted EBITDA IN-LINE pred ~$9.48B vs. cons $9.43B HIGH
TMUS Report Adjusted free cash flow BEAT pred ~$4.70B vs. cons $4.55B MEDIUM
TMUS Guide FY2026 postpaid net account additions UNCHANGED guide ~1.00M midpoint vs. cons 1.01M (FY2026) MEDIUM
TMUS Guide FY2026 Core Adjusted EBITDA UNCHANGED guide ~$37.30B midpoint vs. cons $37.40B (FY2026) HIGH
TMUS Guide FY2026 adjusted free cash flow UNCHANGED guide ~$18.40B midpoint vs. cons $18.45B (FY2026) MEDIUM
TMUS Guide FY2026 postpaid ARPA growth UNCHANGED guide ~2.75% midpoint vs. cons 2.70% (FY2026) MEDIUM
TMUS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
TMUS Return 5-day cumulative residual +3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A ~285K account-add result versus 262K consensus plus ~$4.70B adjusted free cash flow versus $4.55B should support modest upward revisions even if FY2026 midpoint guidance remains ~$37.30B EBITDA versus $37.40B consensus; the key is credible second-half ARPA reacceleration rather than a headline guide raise. MEDIUM