TMUS Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TMUS Report Postpaid Account Net Adds BEAT pred ~290K vs. cons 259K MEDIUM
TMUS Report Core Adjusted EBITDA IN-LINE pred ~$9.50B vs. cons $9.421B MEDIUM
TMUS Report 5G Broadband Net Adds BEAT pred ~460K vs. cons 419K MEDIUM
TMUS Guide FY Postpaid Acct Net Adds (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~1,050K midpoint vs. cons 1,045K MEDIUM
TMUS Guide FY Core Adjusted EBITDA (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~$37.5B midpoint vs. cons $37.336B MEDIUM
TMUS Guide FY Adjusted Free Cash Flow (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$18.6B midpoint vs. cons $18.632B MEDIUM
TMUS Guide ARPA Re-acceleration (qualitative, H2 2026) BETTER mgmt guides H2 ARPA ~3%+ YoY vs. Q2 trough ~2% MEDIUM
TMUS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.0% MEDIUM
TMUS Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.0% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE — H2 implied math limits follow-through despite beat MEDIUM