TSCO Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TSCO Report Diluted EPS MISS pred ~$0.77 vs. cons $0.82 MEDIUM
TSCO Report Comparable-store sales growth MISS pred ~+1.1% vs. cons +2.0% MEDIUM
TSCO Report Operating margin MISS pred ~8.7% vs. cons 9.0% MEDIUM
TSCO Guide FY2026 diluted EPS guidance LOWER guide ~$2.12 vs. cons $2.18 (FY2026) MEDIUM
TSCO Guide FY2026 comparable-store-sales guidance LOWER guide ~+1.5% vs. cons +2.0% (FY2026) MEDIUM
TSCO Guide FY2026 operating-margin guidance LOWER guide ~9.35% vs. cons 9.45% (FY2026) MEDIUM
TSCO Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -5.5% MEDIUM
TSCO Return 5-day cumulative residual -8.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A modest quarterly EPS and comp miss paired with lower FY2026 EPS guidance (~$2.12 vs. $2.18 consensus) would force out-period estimate cuts; the key issue is continued fixed-cost deleverage and weak companion-animal demand rather than a one-quarter timing effect. MEDIUM