TXN Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TXN Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$5.28B vs. cons $5.21B MEDIUM
TXN Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.98 vs. cons $1.92 MEDIUM
TXN Report Gross margin IN-LINE pred ~59.9% vs. cons 59.6% MEDIUM
TXN Guide Q3 revenue guidance LOWER guide ~$5.35B vs. cons $5.45B (2026Q3) MEDIUM
TXN Guide Q3 diluted EPS guidance LOWER guide ~$1.99 vs. cons $2.08 (2026Q3) MEDIUM
TXN Guide Industrial-demand outlook LOWER guide ~10% YoY industrial growth vs. cons ~15% YoY (2026Q3) LOW
TXN Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.5% MEDIUM
TXN Return 5-day cumulative residual -6.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Q2 beat math (~$5.28B revenue and ~$1.98 EPS) is likely outweighed by below-consensus Q3 math (~$5.35B revenue and ~$1.99 EPS), driving out-period estimate cuts and a ~-6.5% 5-day residual versus ~-4.5% day-1 residual. MEDIUM