UHS Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-27

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
UHS Report Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$5.85 vs. cons $5.66 MEDIUM
UHS Report Net revenues (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$4.55B vs. cons $4.52B MEDIUM
UHS Report Acute Care same-facility adjusted admissions growth (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~+1.0% vs. cons +2.8% MEDIUM
UHS Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$23.35 (range $23.25-23.50) vs. cons $23.44 (FY2026) MEDIUM
UHS Guide FY2026 Net revenue guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$18.5B vs. cons $18.54B (FY2026) MEDIUM
UHS Guide ACA exchange subsidy pretax headwind LOWER guide ~$90M vs. prior guide $75M (FY2026) MEDIUM
UHS Guide Core (ex-DPP) EBITDA growth target UNKNOWN guide ~reaffirmed +5% vs. prior/consensus-implied +5% (FY2026) LOW
UHS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.0% MEDIUM
UHS Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.5% (STABILIZE) Prior two prints (Q4'25 -11.4%, Q1'26 -9.5%) showed diverging 5-day behavior: Q4 saw continued sell-side estimate cuts and follow-through (~-6% more into day5) as core/DPP quality concerns spread, while Q1 stabilized within days (residual flattened to ~0% by day5) once the initial repricing captured the core-growth/ACA skepticism. Heading into Q2, expectations are already de-risked (Zacks Rank #4, 0% ESP, stock down ~30% YTD, up 6.4% into the print), a modestly worse ACA headwind guide and still-soft core volumes are largely anticipated rather than a fresh negative surprise, and constructive peer prints (HCA, THC) plus ongoing buybacks at depressed prices should limit incremental post-print estimate cuts, favoring stabilization over cascading follow-through. LOW