UHS Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-27

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
UHS Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$6.65 vs. cons $5.66 HIGH
UHS Report Adjusted EBITDA net of NCI BEAT pred ~$735M vs. cons $632M HIGH
UHS Report Same-facility acute-care adjusted-admissions growth BEAT pred ~2.2% vs. cons 1.0% MEDIUM
UHS Guide FY2026 adjusted EPS BETTER guide ~$24.70 midpoint vs. cons $23.44 (FY2026) HIGH
UHS Guide FY2026 adjusted EBITDA net of NCI BETTER guide ~$2.83B midpoint vs. cons $2.76B (FY2026) HIGH
UHS Guide FY2026 revenue BETTER guide ~$18.70B midpoint vs. cons $18.54B (FY2026) MEDIUM
UHS Guide Exchange-coverage / bad-debt pretax headwind UNCHANGED guide ~$75M vs. cons $75M (FY2026) MEDIUM
UHS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +5.5% MEDIUM
UHS Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.0% (FADE) The initial ~5.5% residual gain reflects a large reported beat and a FY2026 guide increase of roughly $1.26 EPS versus $23.44 consensus. The move should fade toward ~2.0% by day five because approximately $100M of the ~$735M EBITDA quarter is retroactive Florida reimbursement, while the ~$24.70 FY2026 midpoint still implies limited improvement versus the $23.44 consensus base after investors normalize the discrete payment and reassess 2027 supplemental-payment and exchange-bad-debt exposure. MEDIUM