WELL Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-27

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
WELL Report Normalized FFO per share (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.58 vs. cons $1.55 MEDIUM
WELL Report Total revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$3.47B vs. cons $3.40B MEDIUM
WELL Report SHOP same-store NOI growth (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~19.5% vs. cons ~19.8% LOW
WELL Guide FY2026 Normalized FFO per share guidance BETTER guide ~$6.40 vs. cons $6.32 (FY2026) MEDIUM
WELL Guide FY2026 SHOP same-store NOI growth guidance UNCHANGED guide ~17.5%-22.0% (~19.75% midpoint) vs. cons ~19.5% (FY2026) LOW
WELL Guide Year-end 2026 net debt/EBITDA leverage target UNCHANGED guide ~3.0x vs. cons ~3.0x (YE2026) MEDIUM
WELL Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% MEDIUM
WELL Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.0% (STABILIZE) Stock is +34% YTD and near all-time highs into the print, with Street FFO already above the top of guidance ($6.32 vs $6.21-6.35), so a beat-and-raise is largely pre-priced (Q1's beat-and-raise only produced a -1.0% day-1 move followed by a flat week, vs. Q4's +1.8%/+9% follow-through off a lower base). Tougher H2 comps against 2025's record SHOP growth mean any FY raise likely just tracks consensus rather than surprising higher, capping upward revisions; but underlying occupancy/RevPOR fundamentals remain intact, so an initial soft/negative reaction should get partially bought back rather than extend into a deeper fade. LOW