AAPL Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AAPL Report Total revenue IN-LINE pred ~$109.0B vs. cons $108.2B MEDIUM
AAPL Report iPhone revenue IN-LINE pred ~$53.5B vs. cons $53.1B MEDIUM
AAPL Report Gross margin IN-LINE pred ~48.2% vs. cons 48.0% MEDIUM
AAPL Guide Revenue (FY4Q26) LOWER guide ~$112.0B vs. cons $114.6B LOW
AAPL Guide Services revenue (FY4Q26) LOWER guide ~$32.2B vs. cons $32.6B LOW
AAPL Guide Gross margin (FY4Q26) UNCHANGED guide ~47.0% vs. cons 47.3% LOW
AAPL Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.0% LOW
AAPL Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — lower September estimate resets LOW