ACGL Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ACGL Report Operating EPS MISS pred ~$2.36 vs. cons $2.46 MEDIUM
ACGL Report Consolidated combined ratio MISS pred ~87.1% vs. cons 85.8% MEDIUM
ACGL Report Net investment income IN-LINE pred ~$415M vs. cons $417M MEDIUM
ACGL Guide Implied 3Q26 operating EPS outlook / Street revision LOWER guide ~$1.70 vs. cons $1.83 (3Q26) MEDIUM
ACGL Guide Underlying consolidated combined-ratio outlook LOWER guide ~84.5% vs. cons 83.5% (2H26) MEDIUM
ACGL Guide Share-repurchase pace BETTER guide ~$1.4B vs. cons $1.2B (2H26) MEDIUM
ACGL Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -3.8% MEDIUM
ACGL Return 5-day cumulative residual -5.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A ~$2.36 versus $2.46 EPS miss, a ~87.1% versus 85.8% combined-ratio miss, and softer property-cat renewal commentary should drive 3Q26 EPS math toward ~$1.70 versus $1.83 consensus. Buybacks cushion valuation but do not fully offset negative out-period underwriting and margin revisions. MEDIUM