ACGL Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ACGL Report Operating diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.52 vs. cons $2.47 MEDIUM
ACGL Report Net premiums written MISS pred ~$4.14B vs. cons $4.217B MEDIUM
ACGL Report Underwriting margin, ex-cat/ex-PYD BEAT pred ~14.50% vs. cons 13.95% MEDIUM
ACGL Guide FY26 catastrophe load UNCHANGED guide ~7-8% of NPE vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
ACGL Guide Property-cat pricing / volume commentary LOWER guide ~more cautious growth posture vs. cons FY26 NPW $16.17B MEDIUM
ACGL Guide Capital return commentary BETTER guide ~active repurchases reiterated vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
ACGL Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% LOW
ACGL Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — premium-growth reset outweighs the margin beat LOW