ADP Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ADP Report Adjusted diluted EPS (Q4 FY2026) BEAT pred ~$2.64 vs. cons $2.59 MEDIUM
ADP Report Revenue (Q4 FY2026) IN-LINE pred ~$5.48B vs. cons $5.44B MEDIUM
ADP Report Employer Services new-business bookings growth (FY2026) BEAT pred ~6.0% vs. cons 5.5% LOW
ADP Guide Revenue growth LOWER guide ~5.5% vs. cons 5.9% (FY2027) MEDIUM
ADP Guide Adjusted diluted EPS growth UNCHANGED guide ~10.0% vs. cons 10.2% (FY2027) MEDIUM
ADP Guide Adjusted EBIT margin expansion BETTER guide ~80 bps vs. cons 70 bps (FY2027) MEDIUM
ADP Guide PEO Services revenue growth LOWER guide ~5.0% vs. cons 6.1% (FY2027) MEDIUM
ADP Guide Employer Services new-business bookings growth UNCHANGED guide ~5.5% vs. cons 5.5% (FY2027) LOW
ADP Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.8% MEDIUM
ADP Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FY2027 revenue-growth guidance of ~5.5% vs. 5.9% consensus and PEO growth of ~5.0% vs. 6.1% should produce modest out-period estimate cuts despite an EPS beat; ~80 bps margin expansion vs. 70 bps limits, but does not eliminate, the negative revision pressure. MEDIUM