ADP Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ADP Report Fiscal Q4 revenue BEAT pred ~$5.49B vs. cons $5.43B MEDIUM
ADP Report Fiscal Q4 adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.66 vs. cons $2.63 MEDIUM
ADP Report Employer Services new-business bookings growth BEAT pred ~7.5% vs. cons 6.0% MEDIUM
ADP Guide Fiscal 2027 total revenue growth LOWER guide ~5.5% vs. cons 6.0% (FY2027) MEDIUM
ADP Guide Fiscal 2027 adjusted EBIT-margin expansion LOWER guide ~60 bps vs. cons 70 bps (FY2027) MEDIUM
ADP Guide Fiscal 2027 adjusted diluted EPS growth LOWER guide ~8.5% vs. cons 9.5% (FY2027) MEDIUM
ADP Guide Fiscal 2027 Employer Services new-business bookings growth UNCHANGED guide ~5.5% vs. cons 5.5% (FY2027) LOW
ADP Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.8% MEDIUM
ADP Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A ~1% quarterly revenue/EPS beat is likely outweighed by FY2027 revenue growth of ~5.5% versus ~6.0% consensus and EPS growth of ~8.5% versus ~9.5% consensus; the ~$0.10 implied out-period EPS shortfall should drive estimate cuts despite a solid Q4 finish. MEDIUM