AEE Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AEE Report Q2 2026 diluted EPS IN-LINE pred ~$1.09 vs. cons $1.08 MEDIUM
AEE Report Q2 2026 operating revenue BEAT pred ~$2.31B vs. cons $2.28B MEDIUM
AEE Report Q2 2026 capital expenditures BEAT pred ~$1.60B vs. cons $1.55B LOW
AEE Guide FY2026 diluted EPS guidance midpoint UNCHANGED guide ~$5.35 vs. cons $5.39 (FY2026) HIGH
AEE Guide Missouri large-load sales ramp LOWER guide ~1.2 GW vs. cons 1.5 GW (by 2030) MEDIUM
AEE Guide Infrastructure investment plan UNCHANGED guide ~$31.8B vs. cons $31.8B (2026-2030) MEDIUM
AEE Guide Signed Missouri energy-service agreements UNCHANGED guide ~2.8 GW vs. cons 2.8 GW (Q2 2026 update) HIGH
AEE Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.3% MEDIUM
AEE Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.1% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A roughly $0.01 quarterly EPS beat is unlikely to offset unchanged $5.25-$5.45 guidance and a retained 1.2 GW 2030 sales assumption; the implied second-half EPS requirement of about $2.98 remains below the roughly $3.03 consensus, creating modest out-period estimate-cut risk. MEDIUM