AEE Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AEE Report Diluted EPS (2Q26) BEAT pred ~$1.16 vs. cons $1.14 MEDIUM
AEE Report Operating revenue (2Q26) BEAT pred ~$1.98B vs. cons $1.95B LOW
AEE Report Missouri signed energy-services agreements BEAT pred ~2.6 GW vs. cons 2.5 GW MEDIUM
AEE Guide 2026 diluted EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$5.25-$5.45 vs. cons $5.35 (FY2026) HIGH
AEE Guide Missouri large-load sales assumption UNCHANGED guide ~1.2 GW vs. cons 1.2 GW (by 2030) MEDIUM
AEE Guide Five-year capital plan UNCHANGED guide ~$32B vs. cons ~$32B (2026-2030) MEDIUM
AEE Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.2% MEDIUM
AEE Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.4% (FADE) A modest EPS/ESA beat should initially support the premium growth narrative, but unchanged FY2026 EPS guidance (~$5.35 midpoint versus ~$5.35 consensus) and unchanged embedded load-growth assumptions (~1.2 GW versus ~1.2 GW) leave limited basis for out-period estimate increases before the September IRP. MEDIUM