AEE Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AEE Report Operating EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.10 vs. cons $1.076 MEDIUM
AEE Report Missouri Electric Retail Sales (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~7,280 GWh vs. cons 7,221 GWh MEDIUM
AEE Report Total Operating Revenue (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~$2.30B vs. cons $2.346B MEDIUM
AEE Guide FY 2026 Operating EPS (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide reaffirm $5.35 midpoint vs. cons $5.379 — implied H2 ~$0.085 above consensus H2 HIGH
AEE Guide ESA Conversion Commentary (Forward) UNCHANGED Confirm Q2 groundbreakings; near-term additional conversions language — no new formal GW number MEDIUM
AEE Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.3% MEDIUM
AEE Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.5% (FADE) FADE — sell-side digests implied H2 math and rate case uncertainty; short covering provides initial bid but fades as equity dilution overhang reasserts MEDIUM