AJG Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AJG Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$5.70 vs. cons $5.61 MEDIUM
AJG Report Brokerage organic revenue growth BEAT pred ~5.2% vs. cons 5.0% MEDIUM
AJG Report Risk Management organic revenue growth BEAT pred ~11.4% vs. cons 11.0% MEDIUM
AJG Guide FY26 Brokerage organic-growth outlook UNCHANGED guide ~5.5% vs. cons 5.5% (FY26) HIGH
AJG Guide FY26 Risk Management organic-growth outlook UNCHANGED guide ~8.0% vs. cons 8.0% (FY26) HIGH
AJG Guide FY26 underlying Brokerage margin expansion UNCHANGED guide ~50 bps vs. cons 50 bps (FY26) MEDIUM
AJG Guide AssuredPartners annualized run-rate synergy target UNCHANGED guide ~$325M vs. cons $325M (early 2028) MEDIUM
AJG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
AJG Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.4% (FADE) A modest beat (~5.70 EPS versus ~$5.61 consensus) and reaffirmed ~5.5% FY26 Brokerage organic-growth outlook versus ~5.5% consensus should support an initial ~1.5% residual move, but absent a FY26 growth, margin, or AssuredPartners-synergy raise, out-period estimates should change by only ~0% to ~1%, driving a partial fade by day 5. MEDIUM