AJG Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AJG Report Brokerage Organic Growth (2Q 2026) BEAT pred ~5.2% vs. cons 4.93% MEDIUM
AJG Report Risk Mgmt Organic Growth (2Q 2026) BEAT pred ~11.0% vs. cons 10.70% MEDIUM
AJG Report Diluted Operating EPS (2Q 2026) BEAT pred ~$2.88 vs. cons $2.811 MEDIUM
AJG Guide Brokerage Organic FY 2026 (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~5.5% vs. cons 5.17% MEDIUM
AJG Guide Risk Mgmt Organic FY 2026 (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~8.0% vs. cons 8.06% HIGH
AJG Guide Brokerage EBITDAC Margin FY 2026 (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide 40-60 bps expansion vs. cons 35.76% HIGH
AJG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.3% MEDIUM
AJG Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — Archetype A historically follows through as sell-side revises FY estimates upward; muted by elevated pre-print setup (+30% idiosyncratic run since Q1 earnings) MEDIUM