ALGN Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ALGN Report Q2'26 Revenue BEAT pred ~$1.065B vs. cons $1.05B MEDIUM
ALGN Report Q2'26 Non-GAAP EPS BEAT pred ~$2.68 vs. cons $2.64 MEDIUM
ALGN Report Q2'26 Clear Aligner Volume (cases) BEAT pred ~708K vs. cons 697K MEDIUM
ALGN Guide Q3'26 Revenue Guidance BETTER guide ~$1.075B vs. cons $1.06B (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
ALGN Guide Q3'26 Non-GAAP EPS Guidance BETTER guide ~$2.78 vs. cons $2.72 (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
ALGN Guide FY26 Non-GAAP Operating Margin Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~23.7% vs. cons 23.6% (FY2026) LOW
ALGN Guide North America Clear Aligner Volume Trend (y/y) BETTER guide ~-1% vs. cons -3% (Q3 2026) LOW
ALGN Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +4.5% MEDIUM
ALGN Return 5-day cumulative residual +5.0% (STABILIZE) A clean top/bottom-line beat with reaffirmed FY26 revenue/margin guidance removes the tail-risk of an implicit out-period cut, supporting the initial pop; but the EU antitrust probe, CLRO/Chairman transitions, and still-tepid (even if 'less bad') North America retail trends cap incremental upside, so analysts likely nudge estimates up modestly rather than sharply re-rate — price consolidates near the day-1 level over the following days rather than extending or reversing sharply. LOW