ALGN Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ALGN Report Q2 2026 revenue BEAT pred ~$1.065B vs. cons $1.052B MEDIUM
ALGN Report Q2 2026 clear-aligner shipments BEAT pred ~703K vs. cons 695K LOW
ALGN Report Q2 2026 non-GAAP operating margin BEAT pred ~22.0% vs. cons 21.5% MEDIUM
ALGN Guide Q3 2026 revenue LOWER guide ~$1.015B vs. cons $1.025B (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
ALGN Guide Full-year revenue growth UNCHANGED guide ~3.5% vs. cons 3.5% (FY2026) HIGH
ALGN Guide Full-year non-GAAP operating margin UNCHANGED guide ~23.7% vs. cons 23.7% (FY2026) MEDIUM
ALGN Guide Full-year clear-aligner volume growth UNCHANGED guide ~5.5% vs. cons 5.5% (FY2026) MEDIUM
ALGN Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
ALGN Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.5% (STABILIZE) A modest Q2 beat is likely overshadowed initially by Q3 revenue guidance roughly $10M below consensus and continued North America caution. The unchanged FY2026 revenue and margin outlook limits full-year estimate cuts, allowing the initial selloff to stabilize rather than produce sustained negative follow-through. MEDIUM