ALGN Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ALGN Report Total revenue BEAT pred ~$1.071B vs. cons $1.054B MEDIUM
ALGN Report Non-GAAP diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.68 vs. cons $2.56 MEDIUM
ALGN Report Clear Aligner case shipments BEAT pred ~704k cases vs. cons 695k cases MEDIUM
ALGN Guide FY26 revenue growth UNCHANGED guide ~3.5% vs. cons 3.5% (FY26) HIGH
ALGN Guide FY26 non-GAAP operating margin UNCHANGED guide ~23.7% vs. cons 23.7% (FY26) HIGH
ALGN Guide Q3 total revenue LOWER guide ~$1.005B vs. cons $1.025B (Q3'26) MEDIUM
ALGN Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.8% MEDIUM
ALGN Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.5% (FADE) A ~$1.071B revenue result versus $1.054B consensus and ~$2.68 EPS versus $2.56 support an initial positive reaction, but reaffirming ~3.5% FY26 growth versus 3.5% consensus while guiding Q3 revenue near $1.005B versus $1.025B leaves weaker implied second-half revenue and margin absorption. That out-period reset should pull FY26/FY27 estimates lower after the headline beat. MEDIUM