ALGN Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ALGN Report Clear Aligner Volume (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~695K vs. cons 683K MEDIUM
ALGN Report Non-GAAP Operating Margin (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~22.0% vs. cons ~21.5% MEDIUM
ALGN Report Total Revenue (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$1,060M vs. cons $1,051M MEDIUM
ALGN Guide Revenue (Q3 2026) LOWER guide ~$1,025M mid vs. cons-implied ~$1,040M MEDIUM
ALGN Guide Revenue (FY 2026) UNCHANGED reaffirm ~$4,176M mid vs. cons $4,180M HIGH
ALGN Guide Non-GAAP Op Margin (FY 2026) UNCHANGED reaffirm ~23.7% vs. cons ~23.7% HIGH
ALGN Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
ALGN Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.5% (FADE) FADE — Q3 guide cut pulls near-term estimates down post-print; sell-side models off next-Q; short-cover bid limits but does not reverse the drift MEDIUM