AMZN Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AMZN Report AWS revenue BEAT pred ~$40.9B vs. cons $40.2B MEDIUM
AMZN Report Consolidated operating income BEAT pred ~$22.8B vs. cons $22.3B MEDIUM
AMZN Report Net sales IN-LINE pred ~$198.0B vs. cons $197.4B MEDIUM
AMZN Guide Q3 net-sales guidance midpoint LOWER guide ~$210.0B vs. cons $212.0B (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
AMZN Guide Q3 operating-income guidance midpoint LOWER guide ~$22.5B vs. cons $23.8B (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
AMZN Guide Full-year capital-expenditure outlook LOWER guide ~$210B vs. cons $203B (FY 2026) MEDIUM
AMZN Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.5% MEDIUM
AMZN Return 5-day cumulative residual -6.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) The likely AWS and operating-income beat is outweighed by implied Q3 operating-profit dilution and a ~$210B FY2026 capex framework versus ~$203B expected, pulling out-period free-cash-flow and earnings estimates lower. MEDIUM