AMZN Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AMZN Report AWS Revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$41.5B vs. cons $40.5B MEDIUM
AMZN Report Operating Income (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$25.0B vs. cons $23.75B MEDIUM
AMZN Report Advertising Revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$19.8B vs. cons $19.39B MEDIUM
AMZN Guide Revenue (Q3 2026) BETTER guide mid ~$208.5B vs. cons $203.9B MEDIUM
AMZN Guide Operating Income (Q3 2026) BETTER guide mid ~$28.0B vs. cons $25.4B MEDIUM
AMZN Guide AWS qualitative (Q3 2026) BETTER acceleration commentary, >31% YoY vs. cons 31.2% MEDIUM
AMZN Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +4.5% MEDIUM
AMZN Return 5-day cumulative residual +7.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — Archetype A historical pattern; estimate revisions post-print should be positive as Q3 guide forces FY OI higher MEDIUM