AON Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AON Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$3.86 vs. cons $3.80 MEDIUM
AON Report Organic revenue growth BEAT pred ~5.2% vs. cons 5.0% MEDIUM
AON Report Adjusted operating margin IN-LINE pred ~29.0% vs. cons 28.9% MEDIUM
AON Guide Organic revenue growth guidance UNCHANGED guide ~5.0–6.0% vs. cons 5.4% (FY2026) HIGH
AON Guide Adjusted operating-margin expansion guidance UNCHANGED guide ~70–80 bps vs. cons 75 bps (FY2026) HIGH
AON Guide Free-cash-flow growth guidance UNCHANGED guide ~10%+ vs. cons 12% (FY2026) MEDIUM
AON Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.4% MEDIUM
AON Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.6% (FADE) A modest EPS and organic-growth beat should support the initial reaction, but unchanged FY2026 guidance implies limited out-period estimate upside; pred day-5 residual ~0.6% vs. day-1 residual 1.4%, producing a fade as the quarter's upside is partly offset by softer Reinsurance pricing and a high pre-report valuation bar. MEDIUM