AON Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AON Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$3.72 vs. cons $3.58 MEDIUM
AON Report Organic revenue growth BEAT pred ~6.0% vs. cons 5.0% MEDIUM
AON Report Adjusted operating margin IN-LINE pred ~34.0% vs. cons 33.8% MEDIUM
AON Guide FY26 organic revenue growth UNCHANGED guide ~5.0% vs. cons 5.0% (FY26) HIGH
AON Guide FY26 adjusted operating-margin expansion UNCHANGED guide ~75 bps vs. cons 75 bps (FY26) HIGH
AON Guide FY26 free-cash-flow growth UNCHANGED guide ~11.0% vs. cons 11.0% (FY26) MEDIUM
AON Guide Second-half Reinsurance organic growth commentary BETTER guide ~6.0% vs. cons 5.0% (2H26) LOW
AON Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.4% MEDIUM
AON Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.3% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) pred ~6.0% organic growth vs. cons 5.0% and implied 2H26 Reinsurance growth of ~6.0% vs. cons 5.0% support modest out-period EPS revisions despite FY26 organic-growth guidance remaining ~5.0% vs. cons 5.0%. MEDIUM