AOS Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AOS Report Q2 2026 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.98 vs. cons $0.96 MEDIUM
AOS Report Q2 2026 revenue IN-LINE pred ~$1.00B vs. cons $0.995B MEDIUM
AOS Report Q2 2026 North America segment margin MISS pred ~23.8% vs. cons 24.2% LOW
AOS Guide FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance midpoint LOWER guide ~$3.80 vs. cons $3.84 (FY2026) MEDIUM
AOS Guide FY2026 revenue guidance midpoint UNCHANGED guide ~$3.95B vs. cons $3.95B (FY2026) MEDIUM
AOS Guide FY2026 North America segment margin LOWER guide ~23.8% vs. cons 24.0% (FY2026) MEDIUM
AOS Guide FY2026 China local-currency sales growth LOWER guide ~-13% vs. cons -12% (FY2026) LOW
AOS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -3.5% MEDIUM
AOS Return 5-day cumulative residual -5.2% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A modest Q2 EPS beat is likely to be outweighed by FY2026 midpoint math of ~$3.80 versus consensus of $3.84; weaker North America margin and China assumptions should drive estimate revisions lower after the initial reaction. MEDIUM