APH Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
APH Report Q2 2026 Net Sales BEAT pred ~$8.35B vs. cons $8.263B MEDIUM
APH Report Q2 2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.22 vs. cons $1.185 MEDIUM
APH Report Q2 2026 Adjusted Operating Margin BEAT pred ~27.6% vs. cons ~27.3% LOW
APH Guide Q3 2026 Revenue Guidance LOWER guide ~$8.45-8.55B vs. cons ~$8.60B (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
APH Guide Q3 2026 Adjusted EPS Guidance LOWER guide ~$1.20-1.23 vs. cons ~$1.25 (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
APH Guide FY2026 CCS Accretion Commentary BETTER guide ~$0.15-0.18 accretion vs. cons ~$0.15 (FY2026) LOW
APH Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
APH Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (FADE) APH's historical pattern (Q1'26: guided $0.91-0.93 EPS, beat to $1.06, +11.6% vs. cons $0.95; Q4'25: guided $0.89-0.91, beat to $0.97) suggests another top/bottom-line beat and likely upward EPS revisions for FY26, supporting an initial pop. But Street consensus already sits above the high end of Q2 guidance (as it did into this print), so the Q3 guide will almost certainly print below already-elevated consensus - continuing the 'conservative guide, remove-the-beat-later' math that caps immediate multiple expansion. Layered on top is a fragile AI-capex tape (SK Hynix -47% from highs, ASML -5.8% on Chinese DUV competition, Amkor -23% post-print on a soft guide, Alphabet whipsawing on capex fears) that has repeatedly punished decent beats with weak or merely in-line forward guides. Expect the initial relief rally to partially fade over the week as algos/analysts digest the out-period guide gap and re-couple APH's high (~6x NTM sales) multiple to the broader AI-infrastructure risk-off mood, leaving only modest net follow-through by day 5. LOW