ARE Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-03

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ARE Report Adjusted FFO per share BEAT pred ~$1.63 vs. cons $1.61 MEDIUM
ARE Report Operating occupancy IN-LINE pred ~86.7% vs. cons 86.7% MEDIUM
ARE Report Completed/pending dispositions and partial-interest sales MISS pred ~$0.35B vs. cons $0.65B MEDIUM
ARE Guide FY2026 adjusted FFO per share UNCHANGED guide ~$6.40 vs. cons $6.40 (FY2026) MEDIUM
ARE Guide 4Q26 adjusted FFO per share run-rate LOWER guide ~$1.43 vs. cons $1.45 (4Q2026) MEDIUM
ARE Guide FY2026 dispositions and partial-interest sales UNCHANGED guide ~$2.90B vs. cons $2.90B (FY2026) MEDIUM
ARE Guide FY2026 year-end operating occupancy LOWER guide ~86.8% vs. cons 87.0% (FY2026) MEDIUM
ARE Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -5.5% MEDIUM
ARE Return 5-day cumulative residual -8.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A modest ~$1.63 vs. $1.61 FFO beat is outweighed by weak ~$0.35B vs. $0.65B capital-recycling execution, a softer ~$1.43 vs. $1.45 4Q FFO setup, and reduced confidence in the 2027 earnings bridge; out-period estimates should reset lower. MEDIUM