ARE Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-03

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ARE Report Core FFO/Share (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$1.64 vs. cons $1.632 (VA, Aug 1, 2026) MEDIUM
ARE Report Occupancy Rate (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~86.3% vs. cons 86.56% (VA, Aug 1, 2026) MEDIUM
ARE Report Dispositions (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~$425M vs. cons $575M (VA, Aug 1, 2026) MEDIUM
ARE Guide FY 2026 Core FFO/Share (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$6.35-$6.40 midpoint vs. cons $6.360 (VA, Aug 1, 2026) MEDIUM
ARE Guide Year-end 2026 Occupancy (FY 2026) LOWER guide ~86.5% midpoint vs. cons 87.09% (VA, Aug 1, 2026) MEDIUM
ARE Guide FY Same-Store NOI Growth (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~-9.5% to -10.5% vs. cons -10.61% (VA, Aug 1, 2026) MEDIUM
ARE Guide FY Dispositions (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$2.7-$2.9B vs. cons $2.77B (VA, Aug 1, 2026) LOW
ARE Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.5% MEDIUM
ARE Return 5-day cumulative residual -7.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — sell-side models Q3 implicit cut (-3.1% vs. cons) after FY maintained; occupancy guide cut triggers estimate revisions over 2-3 days MEDIUM