AWK Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AWK Report Q2 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.62 vs. cons $1.59 MEDIUM
AWK Report Q2 revenue IN-LINE pred ~$1.35B vs. cons $1.34B MEDIUM
AWK Report Q2 EBITDA IN-LINE pred ~$722M vs. cons $719M LOW
AWK Guide FY2026 adjusted EPS LOWER guide ~$6.02-$6.12 (midpoint $6.07) vs. cons $6.09 (FY2026) MEDIUM
AWK Guide FY2026 capital investment UNCHANGED guide ~$3.70B vs. cons $3.70B (FY2026) HIGH
AWK Guide Long-term adjusted EPS growth UNCHANGED guide ~8.0% midpoint vs. cons 8.0% (2026-2030) HIGH
AWK Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.8% MEDIUM
AWK Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.8% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A modest Q2 beat is likely outweighed by FY2026 guidance midpoint ~$6.07 vs. consensus $6.09 and approximately $74.9M of authorized Pennsylvania revenue vs. the updated ~$159.6M request; the out-period math should produce incremental FY2026-FY2027 estimate cuts as analysts incorporate lower Pennsylvania revenue and continued New Jersey timing risk. MEDIUM