BA Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
BA Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$24.35B vs. cons $24.15B MEDIUM
BA Report Core (non-GAAP) EPS/Loss per share BEAT pred ~-$0.22 vs. cons -$0.30 MEDIUM
BA Report Free Cash Flow BEAT pred ~-$0.1B vs. cons -$0.3B MEDIUM
BA Guide FY2026 Free Cash Flow guide UNCHANGED guide ~$1-3B (midpoint ~$2B) vs. cons ~$1.8B (FY2026) MEDIUM
BA Guide 737 production rate UNCHANGED guide ~47/month vs. cons 47/month (Q4 2026 exit rate) MEDIUM
BA Guide 787 production rate ramp LOWER guide ~8-9/month vs. cons 10/month (2H2026) LOW
BA Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.2% MEDIUM
BA Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.7% (FADE) Delivery/revenue beat and narrower core loss should drive an initial pop, but the FCF turn remains entirely back-half/2027-loaded and contingent on a still-unconfirmed DOJ-related cash payment, while 787 GEnx/premium-seat supply constraints likely push the 10/month goal further out—implicit downward revisions to 2H26/2027 FCF and delivery cadence estimates typically erode Boeing's initial post-print pop within days, consistent with the stock's recent pullback from June highs on similar 'good quarter, cautious cash math' dynamics. MEDIUM