BA Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
BA Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$24.7B vs. cons $24.3B MEDIUM
BA Report Core EPS BEAT pred ~$0.05 vs. cons ($0.30) MEDIUM
BA Report Free cash flow BEAT pred ~($0.1B) vs. cons ($0.3B) MEDIUM
BA Guide Free cash flow guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$2.0B midpoint vs. cons $2.0B (FY2026) HIGH
BA Guide 737 deliveries UNCHANGED guide ~500 aircraft vs. cons 500 aircraft (FY2026) HIGH
BA Guide 787 deliveries UNCHANGED guide ~95 aircraft midpoint vs. cons 95 aircraft (FY2026) MEDIUM
BA Guide 737 production rate UNCHANGED guide ~47 aircraft/month vs. cons 47 aircraft/month (Q3 2026) HIGH
BA Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.5% MEDIUM
BA Return 5-day cumulative residual +4.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Predicted +4.5% five-day residual vs. +3.5% day-1 residual: a free-cash-flow and EPS beat, reaffirmed FY2026 cash guidance, and confirmation of the 47-per-month 737 rate should support estimate revisions, while unchanged delivery guidance limits the magnitude. MEDIUM