BA Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
BA Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$24.1B vs. cons $23.7B MEDIUM
BA Report Core EPS MISS pred ~-$0.28 vs. cons -$0.12 MEDIUM
BA Report Free cash flow IN-LINE pred ~-$0.25B vs. cons -$0.24B MEDIUM
BA Guide FY2026 commercial-aircraft deliveries UNCHANGED guide ~500 aircraft vs. cons 500 aircraft (FY2026) HIGH
BA Guide FY2026 free cash flow UNCHANGED guide ~$2.0B midpoint vs. cons $2.0B midpoint (FY2026) HIGH
BA Guide FY2026 787 deliveries UNCHANGED guide ~95 aircraft midpoint vs. cons 95 aircraft midpoint (FY2026) MEDIUM
BA Guide FY2026 BDS operating margin UNCHANGED guide ~3.5% vs. cons 3.5% (FY2026) MEDIUM
BA Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
BA Return 5-day cumulative residual +3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Revenue and delivery upside, confirmation of 47-per-month 737 production, and constructive MAX 7/10 certification commentary should outweigh a modest core-EPS miss. With FY2026 delivery and free-cash-flow guides held at ~500 aircraft and ~$2.0B midpoint, out-period estimates should remain intact rather than suffer implicit cuts. MEDIUM