BA Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
BA Report Commercial Deliveries (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~172 vs. cons 167 MEDIUM
BA Report Free Cash Flow (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~-$150M vs. cons -$365M MEDIUM
BA Report BCA Operating Margin (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~-3.8% vs. cons -4.2% MEDIUM
BA Guide FY 2026 Free Cash Flow (FY2026) LOWER guide ~$2B midpoint vs. cons $2.45B HIGH
BA Guide FY 2026 Deliveries 737/787 (FY2026) UNCHANGED guide ~500/90-100 reaffirmed vs. cons 667 total HIGH
BA Guide BCA Margin Trajectory (FY2026) UNCHANGED guide positive by mid-2027 reaffirmed vs. embedded consensus HIGH
BA Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +5.0% MEDIUM
BA Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH - modest; FY FCF guide midpoint below consensus caps estimate revisions; delivery beat supports partial follow-through but SPEEA overhang and H2 FCF step-up skepticism limit sustained move MEDIUM