BEN Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-31

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
BEN Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.70 vs. cons $0.66 MEDIUM
BEN Report Operating revenue BEAT pred ~$2.36B vs. cons $2.28B MEDIUM
BEN Report Long-term net flows MISS pred ~$12.0B vs. cons $13.0B LOW
BEN Guide Fiscal 4Q26 adjusted operating margin outlook LOWER guide ~29.2% vs. cons 29.5% (fiscal 4Q26) MEDIUM
BEN Guide Fiscal 4Q26 effective fee-rate outlook UNCHANGED guide ~37.7 bps vs. cons 37.7 bps (fiscal 4Q26) MEDIUM
BEN Guide Fiscal 2026 expense-growth outlook excluding performance fees UNCHANGED guide ~1.5% vs. cons 1.5% (fiscal 2026) MEDIUM
BEN Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.0% MEDIUM
BEN Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.5% (FADE) An EPS and revenue beat should initially reward stronger average AUM, fee revenue, and operating leverage, but a modest long-term-flow shortfall and a ~29.2% fiscal-4Q margin outlook versus ~29.5% consensus leave out-period EPS math slightly lower. The initial positive reaction should therefore fade as revisions focus on the slower margin bridge to the 30%+ target. MEDIUM