BMY Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
BMY Report Non-GAAP EPS BEAT pred ~$1.75 vs. cons ~$1.60 HIGH
BMY Report Total revenue BEAT pred ~$11.95B vs. cons ~$11.70B MEDIUM
BMY Report Cobenfy revenue MISS pred ~$62M vs. cons ~$78M MEDIUM
BMY Guide FY26 revenue guide BETTER guide ~$47.5B (raised to upper end) vs. cons ~$46.9B (FY2026) MEDIUM
BMY Guide FY26 non-GAAP EPS guide BETTER guide ~$6.35 (raised to top end) vs. cons ~$6.25 (FY2026) MEDIUM
BMY Guide Eliquis Q2 sales (inventory reversal read-through) LOWER guide ~$3.0B vs. cons ~$3.2B (Q2 2026, sequential reversal of Q1 price-cut build) LOW
BMY Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% LOW
BMY Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.0% (FADE) Stock ran ~17% in a month to a fresh 52-week high (~$63.67), so a beat-and-raise is largely priced and sets up 'sell-the-news' risk. The likely beat is low-quality (legacy Eliquis inventory timing, tough Revlimid comps rolling off), and the out-period patent-cliff math pulls 2027+ estimates down even after a headline beat/raise. Any softness in Cobenfy ramp or Opdivo inventory normalization gives profit-takers a reason after the strong YTD run, driving negative revisions and a fade. MEDIUM