BSX Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
BSX Report Organic revenue growth (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~7.5% vs. cons 5.3% MEDIUM
BSX Report Adjusted EPS (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~$0.86 vs. cons $0.83 MEDIUM
BSX Report Total reported revenue (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~$5.46B vs. cons ~$5.40B MEDIUM
BSX Guide FY26 organic revenue growth guide UNCHANGED guide ~6.5-8.0% (reaffirmed) vs. cons ~7.0% (FY26) MEDIUM
BSX Guide FY26 adjusted EPS guide BETTER guide ~$3.36-$3.43 vs. cons ~$3.38 (FY26) MEDIUM
BSX Guide Q3'26 organic growth implied BETTER guide ~7-8% vs. cons ~6.5% (Q3'26) LOW
BSX Guide US EP/FARAPULSE + WATCHMAN stabilization commentary UNKNOWN pred US EP ~mid-single-digit vs. cons ~flat-to-LSD (Q2'26) LOW
BSX Guide Buyback executed / restructuring savings flow-through BETTER pred ~$2B repurchased + ~$500M gross savings vs. cons ~$0 buyback modeled (Q2'26/FY26) LOW
BSX Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +5.0% MEDIUM
BSX Return 5-day cumulative residual +5.5% (STABILIZE) Sentiment is washed out (stock -50% YTD, bounced ~8% off late-June lows into print) and the bar is set at guidance. A modest beat on organic/EPS plus a reaffirmed FY26 range and pre-announced restructuring (defends the double-digit EPS algo) should trigger a relief pop of ~+5%. Out-period math is roughly neutral-to-slightly-positive: a Q2 beat pulls FY estimates up modestly, but the FY organic range is only held (not raised) and 2H still needs to accelerate, so estimate revisions are small. After three prior disappointments the market stays skeptical—hence the initial gain largely holds rather than compounding (no strong follow-through), but there's no cut to force a fade. Net: the day-1 move stabilizes with only slight incremental drift, with fragility if any FARAPULSE/WATCHMAN datapoint disappoints. LOW