CBRE Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CBRE Report Core EPS (Q2) BEAT pred ~$1.56 vs. cons $1.49 HIGH
CBRE Report Revenue (Q2) BEAT pred ~$11.5B vs. cons $11.2B MEDIUM
CBRE Report Core EBITDA (Q2) BEAT pred ~$730M vs. cons ~$700M MEDIUM
CBRE Guide FY2026 core EPS guidance BETTER guide ~$7.75-$8.00 (mid ~$7.88) vs. cons ~$7.78 (FY2026) MEDIUM
CBRE Guide H2 Advisory/capital-markets growth commentary (tough comps) LOWER guide H2 Advisory decel to ~high-single/low-double-digit growth vs. cons ~mid-teens (H2 2026) MEDIUM
CBRE Guide Critical Infrastructure Services (BOE) growth BETTER guide >60% growth (~$2.7B) vs. cons ~55% (FY2026) MEDIUM
CBRE Guide Real Estate Investments SOP (H2/Q2, post Q1 pull-forward) LOWER guide Q2 REI SOP ~$40-60M vs. cons ~$90M (Q2 2026); FY unchanged ~$300M MEDIUM
CBRE Guide Q2 buybacks (opportunistic into sub-$130 dip) BETTER pred ~$400-600M repurchased vs. cons ~$250M (Q2 2026) LOW
CBRE Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% LOW
CBRE Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.5% (FADE) Another sizable EPS beat plus a likely FY raise should spark an initial pop, but the stock came in hot (+18% off the June low, +5% in the final 3 sessions to $147), lifting the bar and inviting sell-the-news. The out-period math is the swing: much of any raise is 'banking' the Q2 beat, while management-flagged H2 Advisory deceleration against tough comps, a lighter REI quarter (Q1 data-center land pull-forward), and the unresolved AI-disintermediation overhang push H2 estimates down even after the print. Net: day-1 gain largely given back as revisions to out-quarters are trimmed and the AI debate re-anchors sentiment. LOW