CHRW Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CHRW Report Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.58 vs. cons $1.51 MEDIUM
CHRW Report Total Revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$4.40B vs. cons $4.36B MEDIUM
CHRW Report NAST Adjusted Gross Margin % MISS pred ~14.0% vs. cons/expectation ~14.6% MEDIUM
CHRW Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS guidance LOWER guide ~$6.00 vs. cons $6.08 (FY2026) MEDIUM
CHRW Guide FY2026 Dry Van Spot Rate Assumption (cost headwind) LOWER guide ~19% y/y vs. prior guide 17% y/y (FY2026) MEDIUM
CHRW Guide Litigation loss-contingency disclosure/reserve UNKNOWN guide ~$0M booked (non-estimable) vs. street ballpark ~$150M potential exposure (FY2026) LOW
CHRW Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
CHRW Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Even with a likely Q2 EPS/revenue beat, management reiterating the ~$6 FY26 EPS target (vs. $6.08-6.09 consensus) is an implicit downward revision that analysts will formalize over the following days; combined with NAST gross-margin compression from accelerating spot-rate cost inflation (17%→~19% guided) and unresolved litigation/insurance-reserve overhang from the Dallas verdict, sell-side estimate cuts and target-price trims (already begun with Baird) should extend the initial negative reaction rather than let it fade, producing continued idiosyncratic underperformance through the week. MEDIUM