CI Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CI Report Q2 2026 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$7.72 vs. cons $7.57 MEDIUM
CI Report Q2 2026 Cigna Healthcare MCR BEAT pred ~83.9% vs. cons 84.8% MEDIUM
CI Report Q2 2026 Specialty and Care Services pretax adjusted earnings BEAT pred ~$1.04B vs. cons $1.01B MEDIUM
CI Guide FY2026 adjusted EPS floor BETTER guide ~$30.50 vs. cons $30.39 (FY2026) MEDIUM
CI Guide FY2026 Cigna Healthcare pretax adjusted earnings floor BETTER guide ~$4.60B vs. cons $4.58B (FY2026) MEDIUM
CI Guide FY2026 Evernorth pretax adjusted earnings floor LOWER guide ~$6.90B vs. cons $6.92B (FY2026) MEDIUM
CI Guide Pharmacy Benefit Services client retention UNCHANGED guide ~95% vs. cons 95% (2027 selling season) MEDIUM
CI Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.8% MEDIUM
CI Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.1% (FADE) A favorable MCR and Specialty-led Q2 beat should drive the initial gain, but a ~$30.50 FY2026 floor implies roughly $14.99 of second-half EPS versus prior consensus near $15.03, an implicit out-period cut as Signature investment ramps; estimates should therefore rise less than the headline beat and partially fade. MEDIUM