CMG Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CMG Report Q2 2026 comparable restaurant sales growth BEAT pred ~1.5% vs. cons 1.3% MEDIUM
CMG Report Q2 2026 restaurant-level margin IN-LINE pred ~25.1% vs. cons 25.0% MEDIUM
CMG Report Q2 2026 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.33 vs. cons $0.32 MEDIUM
CMG Guide Full-year comparable restaurant sales growth LOWER guide ~0.0% vs. cons +0.6% (FY 2026) MEDIUM
CMG Guide Comparable restaurant sales commentary LOWER guide ~+0.2% vs. cons +1.4% (Q3 2026/Q3-to-date) MEDIUM
CMG Guide New restaurant openings UNCHANGED guide ~360 midpoint vs. cons 360 (FY 2026) HIGH
CMG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -5.8% MEDIUM
CMG Return 5-day cumulative residual -7.2% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A modest Q2 beat is outweighed by out-period math: Q3-to-date comps of ~+0.2% vs. consensus +1.4% and FY 2026 guidance of ~0.0% vs. consensus +0.6% imply second-half estimate cuts, supporting negative follow-through after day 1. MEDIUM