CMG Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CMG Report Comparable sales BEAT pred ~1.60% vs. cons 1.37% MEDIUM
CMG Report Transaction growth BEAT pred ~0.60% vs. cons 0.36% MEDIUM
CMG Report Restaurant-level operating margin MISS pred ~24.70% vs. cons 24.99% MEDIUM
CMG Guide FY26 comparable sales LOWER guide ~0.0% vs. cons 1.46% MEDIUM
CMG Guide Q3 demand / comp commentary BETTER guide ~2.0% vs. cons 1.34% LOW
CMG Guide H2 margin-recovery commentary UNCHANGED guide ~consistent with prior H2 recovery framing vs. cons 23.96% FY margin MEDIUM
CMG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% MEDIUM
CMG Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — implicit FY out-period cut pressures revisions MEDIUM