CMS Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CMS Report Q2 2026 adjusted EPS MISS pred ~$0.38 vs. cons $0.72 HIGH
CMS Report Q2 2026 operating revenue BEAT pred ~$1.92B vs. cons $1.89B MEDIUM
CMS Report Qualified economic-development pipeline IN-LINE pred ~9.0 GW vs. cons 9.0 GW MEDIUM
CMS Guide FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance midpoint UNCHANGED guide ~$3.865 vs. cons $3.87 (FY2026) HIGH
CMS Guide Long-term adjusted EPS growth target UNCHANGED guide ~8.0% vs. cons 8.0% (2027–2030, toward high end of 6%–8%) MEDIUM
CMS Guide Incremental July storm EPS drag LOWER guide ~$0.08 drag vs. cons $0.05 drag (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
CMS Guide Planned common-equity issuance UNCHANGED guide ~$700M vs. cons $700M (FY2026) HIGH
CMS Guide Initial advanced data-center load timing UNCHANGED guide ~2028 vs. cons 2028 (initial-load year) MEDIUM
CMS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.8% MEDIUM
CMS Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.7% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) The headline EPS miss should be partly dismissed because storm-aware expectations are near $0.35–$0.36, but an estimated ~$0.08 July storm drag versus ~$0.05 expected and a $3.865 guidance midpoint versus $3.87 consensus should pull FY2026 estimates modestly lower; absent a signed data-center catalyst, revisions likely extend the initial weakness. MEDIUM