| CNP |
Report |
Q2 2026 Non-GAAP EPS |
BEAT |
pred ~$0.38 vs. cons $0.37 |
MEDIUM |
| CNP |
Report |
Q2 2026 Revenue |
IN-LINE |
pred ~$2.05B vs. cons $2.07B |
LOW |
| CNP |
Report |
Houston Electric firmly committed industrial load (GW) |
BEAT |
pred ~13.5 GW vs. cons/prior 12.2 GW |
MEDIUM |
| CNP |
Guide |
FY2026 Non-GAAP EPS guidance |
UNCHANGED |
guide ~$1.90 (at least midpoint) vs. cons $1.90 (FY2026) |
HIGH |
| CNP |
Guide |
Long-term EPS growth algorithm |
UNCHANGED |
guide ~8% (7-9%) vs. cons ~8% (through 2030) |
HIGH |
| CNP |
Guide |
Transmission study / incremental capex sizing |
UNKNOWN |
guide ~$10B+ incremental vs. $65.5B base plan (2H2026) |
LOW |
| CNP |
Guide |
Indiana ≥1.5 GW large-load contract |
UNKNOWN |
guide ~$1B incremental capex vs. $0 in-plan (2027-2029) |
LOW |
| CNP |
Return |
Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) |
-0.8% |
— |
MEDIUM |
| CNP |
Return |
5-day cumulative residual |
-1.5% (FADE) |
Base case is an EPS beat with a 'at least midpoint' reaffirm and a modest committed-load step-up — largely already priced after a +14% YTD run to 52-week highs (~$44). Out-period math is unfavorable: a Q2 beat against a reaffirmed FY range implicitly trims the 2H bar, so estimates drift flat-to-down rather than up. Absent a hard guide-up, quantified transmission capex, or a signed Indiana deal, the crowded/near-highs positioning skews toward sell-the-news and mean reversion over the following week. |
LOW |